Theresa Amato, Elaine Kamarck, Darren Garnick, Jesse Ventura( my notesCollapse )
FORUM: NUCLEAR TERRORISM, How to Prevent the Ultimate Catastrophe
Graham Allison, John Holdren, Alex Jones, Joseph S. Nye, Jr., Dean David Ellwood (moderator)
Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs
John F. Kennedy Jr. Forum
September 16, 2004 , 6:00 PM
Graham T. Allison is Douglas Dillon Professor of Government and Director of the Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs. From 1977-1989, Allison served as Dean of the Kennedy School. In the first term of the Clinton Administration, Allison served as Assistant Secretary of Defense for Policy and Plans, where he coordinated DOD strategy and policy toward Russia, Ukraine, and the other states of the former Soviet Union.
John P. Holdren is Teresa and John Heinz Professor of Environmental Policy and Director of the Program on Science, Technology, and Public Policy at the Kennedy School, as well as Professor of Environmental Science and Public Policy in the Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences at Harvard University. He is Chair of the Committee on International Security and Arms Control of the National Academy of Sciences and was a member of President Clinton's Committee of Advisors on Science and Technology (PCAST). In connection with PCAST, Holdren chaired studies for the White House on protection of nuclear-bomb materials, the U.S. fusion-energy R&D program, and energy R&D strategy for the climate-change challenge.
Alex S. Jones is Laurence M. Lombard Lecturer in the Press and Public Policy and Director of the Joan Shorenstein Center on the Press, Politics and Public Policy. He covered the press for the New York Times from 1983-1992 and was awarded the Pulitzer Prize in 1987.
Joseph S. Nye Jr. is the Sultan of Oman Professor of International Relations. From December of 1995 through June of 2004 he was Dean of the Kennedy School. Prior to assuming the Deanship he served as Assistant Secretary of Defense for International Security Affairs, in which position he won two Distinguished Service medals, and as Chair of the National Intelligence Council.
David T. Ellwood,Scott M. Black Professor of Political Economy, is Dean of the Kennedy School. He previously served as Assistant Secretary for Planning and Evaluation at the Department of Health and Human Services,and was Co-Chair of President Clinton's efforts on welfare reform. ( My notes, not exact quotesCollapse )
Finding the Formula for Healthy Economic Development
Kennedy School Study Examines Causes of Economic Growth
CAMBRIDGE, MA. – Significant increases in national economic growth rates are more frequent than is commonly thought, but also highly unpredictable. That’s the conclusion reached by a group of researchers at Harvard’s Kennedy School of Government. Their study suggests that extensive institutional and policy reforms are not necessary to stimulate economic growth in the early stages of development. Even minor policy changes can trigger rapid growth over the better part of a decade.
The researchers examined 83 cases of economic growth spurts between 1957 and 1992. Cases were limited to those where a nation’s annual GNP per capita growth increased by at least two percentage points, and where the post-spurt growth rate averaged at least three-and-a-half percent for eight consecutive years or more.
The analysis indicates that such medium-term growth accelerations are not infrequent, nor tied to any specific formula. Indeed most cases are not preceded by major changes in economic policies, institutional arrangements, political circumstances, or external conditions.
The study finds that only 15 percent of growth accelerations are associated with major economic liberalization – such as opening up markets or introducing significant structural reforms – which implies that 85 percent of such accelerations take place in the absence of major liberalization. And fewer than one in five episodes of economic liberalization are followed by growth take-offs. Similarly, while more than half of growth accelerations are preceded by political-regime changes, only a tiny proportion of political-regime changes (14%) are followed by growth accelerations.
“Our research tells us several things,” said report co-author Dani Rodrik, Rafiq Hariri professor of international political economy. “It tells us that cataclysmic policy reforms are not necessary to get an economy moving in the right direction. Even little things, like sending pro-business signals or removing small obstacles to private investment, can help produce positive growth for eight years or longer. However, the study also tells us that the formula for producing longer-term economic growth remains unclear.”
The report was co-authored by Ricardo Hausmann, professor of the practice of economic development; and Lant Pritchett, former lecturer in public policy.
The study may be accessed online through the Kennedy School Working Papers website: http://ksgnotes1.harvard.edu/research/wpaper.nsf/rwp/RWP04-030?OpenDocument
At a wedding this weekend I was able to sit down and discuss a number of topics with dakotareese
. For someone outside of the discipline, he is quite astute when it comes to hashing political science and over the years has provided me with many a thought provoking discussion. One such conversation this weekend was about Israelis and how a mandatory service requirement affects their perception of Palestinians. Taking this to the next level, I'm curious as to how mandatory service affects Israeli political positions, especially as it relates to the continuation of the Palestinian/Israeli conflict. On one hand, in the US, we tend to associate military service with more conservative/hawkish views. On the other hand, one might think that first hand experience might make soldiers find the cost of continued conflict to outweigh the benefits of continued occupation. This does tend to get into a bit more of a psych area than I'd tend to feel comfortable with and would require a lot more reading into the psychology of warfare, but I think it could be very interesting research.
|» Further food for thought...|
Ah how I love electronic filing cabinets...|
( June 21, 2004, Guantánamo Memories, From Outside the Wire, NYTimesCollapse )
( June 21, 2004, Judge in Abuse Case Will Allow Questioning of Top Officers, By EDWARD WONG, NYTimesCollapse )
( Maids vs. Occupiers, By THOMAS L. FRIEDMAN, NYTimes, June, 17, 2004Collapse )
( Dare We Call It Genocide?, NICHOLAS D. KRISTOF, June 16, 2004, NYTimesCollapse )
|» "Friedman: Anti-Americanism"|
I'm too bored to not post this, too tired to actually read it, so I don't know if it's good, I don't know if it's relevant, but I do know that half the point of this LJ was to catalog sources so that I could revisit them at a later point.|
( Love Our Technology, Love Us, By THOMAS L. FRIEDMAN, June 20, 2004, NYTimesCollapse )
6/21, ETA: Reading through the article, there are some relevant bits. They have been bolded.
|» A short list of suggested reading...|
A few citations recommended by AVHJ:|
Anonymous. Through Our Enemies' Eyes. Washington D.C., Brassey's Inc. 2003
Russel D. Howard, Reid L. Sawyer. Terrorism and Counterterrorism, McGraw-Hill/Dushkin, 2003.
Hoffman, Bruce. Inside Terrorism. Columbia University Press, 1999.
The Hoffman looks most relevant to the work I want to do, and hopefully I'll be able to borrow the Howard and Sawyer to peruse a bit--I'm inherently skeptical of anything that refers to counterterrorism, the result of a few too many nights spent reading about Latin American counterterrorism (ie the type of torture that makes what happened in Iraq look merciful).